"All I remember about my wedding day in 1967 is that the Cubs lost a doubleheader." — George F. Will

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Semi-finals Preview

Playoffs Week 1




Projection
White Claw Variety Packs 135.4 defeats All Mahomies 129.6

Outcome
White Claw Variety Packs 113.8 defeats All Mahomies 103


New this one was going to be close, just didn't realize it would be as low scoring. Let's pour one out for a regular season team for the ages in All Mahomies. Please take a moment to watch this tribute.








Projection
The Flemchise 135.2 defeats I Lockett Alot 131.4 

Outcome
The Flemchise 151.7 defeats I Lockett Alot 120.5


Outcome would have been a lot closer to projection had Nordo started a defense and played Dak. Maybe next year he will just take one QB so he is not faced with the daunting task each week in who to start. Also, interested to see which players each one of these managers will keep next year. 


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Flem had about as productive of a matchup from each player on his team one could ask for:





Projection
To Khalil A Mackingbird 121.1 defeats Jahnsy Stackedhouse 116.5

Outcome
To Khalil A Mackingbird 138.8 defeats Jahnsy Stackedhouse 119.5

Pretty spot on with Jahns' projected outcome. A year plagued with some questionable trades and constant injuries is what ultimately did this team in. On paper, Jahns produced a team that should have been able to make a nice run in the playoffs. That fell short with a sold showing from Deandre Hokpins and Joe Mixon. 

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With a big game from Ryan Tannehill, Jahns can probably sleep a bit better at night knowing that sitting Drew Brews in a playoff matchup did not come back to haunt him. 

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Projection
Injured And Afraid 169.9 defeats What the Ekeler? 158.2

Outcome
Injured And Afraid 111.5 defeated by What the Ekeler? 177.8


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I projected last week this was going to be a high scoring affair. David's run of winning 6 of the last 7 matchups fell short in one of the stronger week 1 showings we have witnessed in recent memory. With massive games from Austin Ekeler & Robert Woods, and some help from Deshaun's garbage time TD's against the Broncos wound up being the x factors in this blowout. Nick could have reached the 200 point threshold if he had started Emanuel Sanders who put up 38 points.



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Derrick Henry continued to impress with a 26.5 point showing, and can be considered the most underrated running back in our draft this past year. Average performances from Saquon, Tyreek Hill and Josh Allen are what did this team in. Congrats on a hard fought year after start out 0-6. 

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Semi-finals Preview






White Claw Variety Packs(8) vs The Flemchise(1)




Vegas currently gives The Flemchise a 6.7 favorite over White Claw Variety Packs and Flem has a 2 point head start with the home field advantage. After splitting the regular season games, we have a good ole fashion grudge match on our hands. 


Starting with Paul, it looks like he will be starting 3 Patriots against the lowly Bengals in Brady, Edelman, & White. This is a huge stack I will be referring to as The Triple Quarter Pounder. 



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CC: Nordo 


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I expect these 3 to put up big numbers against the Bengals. Expect the Pats to put up big points after suffering a home loss last week against the Chiefs. 

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Other noticeable matchups are the tag team duo of Landry and OBJ playing against the lowly Cardinals this week. 

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Paul is a big time favorite this week in the opponents of his players sucking category. 

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Strong secondary scoring from the Buffalo Bills Defense and perhaps a late 50 yard field goal from Justin Tucker could put this team over the top and secure an upset against Flem this week.

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The Flemchise is coming off a strong all around performance from his team. I expect Russ to be Russ against the Panthers this weekend. Nick Chubb can easily get two TD's against the Cardinals and there is a real possibility George Kittle puts up a triple quarter pounder against the Falcons. 



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Image result for russell wilson"


I do expect another big game from A-Rob against a sucky packers defense and with Mitch playing well right now. He can continue to roll on for the bears and help make their playoff push hopeful. 

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Where I see this team running into some difficulty this week is in Flem's most coveted draft picks in Zeke and Melvin Gordon. Both have tough matchups. 


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Gordon has to play against a hungry Vikings defense trying to maintain a wildcard spot in the playoffs, and Zeke has to face a tough front 7 in the Rams defense who are also trying to keep their playoff hopes alive. These two matchups may certainly be the deciding benefactor in this close semi-final matchup. 

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However, there is one X-factor you guys have heard me mention before as my favorite draft pick this year. None other than Kenny Golladay. 


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Image result for kenny golladay"



Projection

The Flemchise 141.8 defeats White Claw Variety Packs 139.8 courtesy of home field advantage (+2)

To quote week 1 blog: "Home team in each Playoff Matchup starts with +2 points, considered home field advantage. Ever try playing in Foxborough in December?"

Image result for foxborough gillette stadium snow


Image result for foxborough gillette stadium snow



To Khalil A Mackingbird(6) vs What the Ekeler(2)


Vegas is giving a TD to To Khalil A Mackingbird in this one, as 5.2 point favorites against What the Ekeler? Seems a bit disrespectful with the big showing from Nick last week, but I do not make the lines. Big question mark this week will be who do these two teams start in their QB and flex spots? That has been a very difficult decision in the past and I imagine both managers are losing sleep this week in trying to decide what the best options are. Regular season matchup saw Nick pulling out a W, will he be able to go undefeated against Kratz this year and make a run at the Championship?



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We got Kyler Murray or Matt Ryan? We got Deshaun Watson or Kirk Cousins? Tough decisions indeed. 


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We got Joe Mixon or Sony Michel? We got Kareeum Hunt or Miles Sanders?

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Some favorable matchups for Kratz's RB's. Fournette takes on Oakland and Mark Ingram takes on the Jets. Chris Godwin also has a juicy matchup against the Lions with Mike Evans out he should see a few more targets than usual. I see a big game coming for Godwin and Mark Ingram. Robbie Gould also may kick 10 field goals against the Falcons and may certainly be the deciding factor in this one.





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Fournette has TNF this week, so we will see how many points Kratz is up heading into Sunday which may ultimately drive some decision makings in these managers flex spots.


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Some favorable matchups for Nick we get Robert Woods who is smoking hot against the Cowboys who have looked defeated in recent weeks. Emmanuel Sanders with a big game last week against the Falcons and the main man himself in Dalvin Cook against the Chargers.


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I expect this one to be a shootout.

Nick looks to be starting Steelers defense who have been good all season. They play on Sunday night football, which will be excruciating to watch if I am in this matchup.


Talk about Sunday scaries. CC: Nordo


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If Nick also decides to start either Pascal or Jack Doyle this week, the Colts don't play until Monday Night, so we may have to wait awhile to see who wins this one!

Look for the possibility of Nick starting Deshaun Watson to counter Kratz's Deandre Hopkins play. Could certainly cross each other out or comeback to haunt him if Deshaun only has 1 TD and it goes to Hopkins. Tennessee has certainly played well as of late on defense and are pushing for a wildcard spot behind this man:


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Projection

To Khalil A Mackingbird 147.3 defeats What the Ekeler? 139.2 courtesy of Chris "mother-effin" Godwin



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Image result for chris godwin gif"




Consolation Bracket

I lost to Irwin a third time this season.

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